This year Japan has just crossed a milestone: sales of adult diapers for the first time more than a baby. And other statistics on the aging population is also surprising: not only many centenarians in Japan, 86,000 in Asia "longevity millionaire (who has lived more than 1 million hours, or that the 114-year-old or older) "Japan also accounted for half.
However, sales of adult diapers increased not only in Japan, as well as emerging Asian countries and regions, such as China, Thailand and Taiwan. However, Indonesia and India, the population is very young, this comparison highlights the diversification of the Asian population. The Asian holistic aging trend will undoubtedly affect the fundamental economic dynamics of demand, output and labor market, and it will also for technical innovation and manufacturing power of the financial markets and different asset classes.
Japan is not only an aging Asian countries or regions. China, South Korea, Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan, was not spared, but to a lesser extent. In the past five years, Japan's labor force declined by 4.3%, while the securities firm CLSA (CLSA) predicted in the next five years may again contracted by 5.1%. For other Asian countries mentioned Fortunately, the climb speed is declining, the total labor force is still growing. Such as China in the past five years, the labor force expanded by 4.2%, but in the next five years, growth may drop to 1.2%. Taiwan, South Korea and Hong Kong, the number of labor in the next five years may begin to shrink. In short, the high-income countries in Asia aging faster.
ASEAN countries, especially Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines can boast of their "demographic dividend". These countries are in the working age population, especially the 25-44 year-old population, will rise in the next 20 years. This age of great significance, not only because it is supported by consumer demand, but also to support future population growth. This means that in Asia, Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines, a steady supply of labor force can be maintained for a long period of time. Of course, the aging trend by allowing immigrants mitigation - Singapore's immigration policy, between the age of 15-24 years old population increased 22.4% in the past five years. Overall, Japan is still the most serious national trend of population aging.
Young population can confer advantages, but can not guarantee economic success. Production and growth also have to rely on the technology and quality of the labor force. Rely on superior technology and advanced worker training, complementarity, aging does not necessarily represent the Asian countries at a disadvantage, which is in many parts of the policy focus. If Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines can also improve their education and technical expertise, their growth will accelerate - even if they are growth may have more than other Asian countries.
Population age differences are even more direct impact on government spending, social and consumer trends, and financial market technical factors. Public finances in the aging of the population means that public spending on health care and social security. On the consumption side, the older generation of mature countries generally enjoy a higher spending power. However, in Asia, lower retirement and health care benefits accounted for the proportion of gross domestic product (GDP), retirees, income and consumption, depending on personal savings, it may increase or decrease. What consumer industries will benefit or damaged in the changes in population, the country needs more bottom-up analysis.
Overall, because of the overall aging of the population in Asia, demand is likely to increase the industry will include drugs, incontinence products, leisure, tourism, food and beverage, as well as anti-aging products. For example, sales of China's anti-aging products, has surpassed the United States. In the past decade, due to the strong economic growth in China, the substantial growth of trade in the Asian region. Consumer demand due to demographic changes, it may gradually by the company in the region to meet. In Japan, for example, incontinence products have accounted for 84% of sales in Asia, Japan has been leading the development of robotic products that meet the needs of older persons. However, Taiwan is also actively seeking to become a robot manufacturing center, total shipments of robotic products in China and South Korea, and Japan are almost unbeatable.
Must be mentioned, Japan and other developed countries, the aging of the population likely to increase the demand for certain types of financial assets, in particular, is to provide a stable revenue growth of assets. In many Asian countries, retired people and more dependent on their own savings, it is possible to hedge against inflation and a regular income, it will become increasingly important. Growth in the past few years, the financial market is very volatile, encouraging many people to find assets to provide income, and even the dust settles, the global economy will once again return to normal growth, population aging alone this factor, it will also provide a stable income assets provide long-term technical support.
These assets can be a real asset, dividend-paying stocks or fixed income bonds. Traditional Asians rely on child support. But eating the old "more and more common. To be able to protect yourself but also to stay more than a shadow of new universal desire.
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